๐Ÿ“ˆ Polkadot OpenGov Data Insights

We were curious about the voting behaviour in Polkadot OpenGov so we extracted the data from the chain and did some analysis over it.

The data is up to block 18_277_977, i.e. 2023-11-22 11:02:06 (+UTC), it only includes treasury tracks, and the last month is still open.

With the analysis we aim to address the following questions:

  1. Who is voting?
  2. Are voters engaged?
  3. How is conviction used?
  4. How is exercised voting power distributed?

1. Who is voting?

A total of 1529 unique addresses have voted at least once in OpenGov for treasury tracks, and 298 unique addresses have delegated their votes. When we segment these accounts by the amount of DOT they hold (free + reserve balance), it becomes evident that more than half of voting and delegating accounts hold less than 1k DOT.

2. Are voters engaged?

We aim to understand whether new voting accounts continue to vote on proposals over time. To explore this, we present the monthly retention cohorts of voting accounts.

From the charts we can see that typically less than half of new participants entering on a month continue to vote in the following months. The original cohort (Jun-23) is the most sticky and dedicated.

3. How is conviction used?

OpenGov utilizes conviction voting, allowing token holders to increase their voting power by declaring how long they are willing to lock up their tokens based on a conviction multiplier. To gain an overall understanding of how conviction is used, we present a plot of the mean and median conviction for casted votes.

mean_conviction

The resulting plot reveals that the median conviction remains consistently at 1x, while the average fluctuates between 1.05 and 1.2, indicating that token holders typically use low conviction when voting.

For deeper insight into how conviction is used when voting, we segment the votes by the amount of DOT put into a vote and plot the percentage of votes per conviction in each segment.

conviction_by_power

Here, it is clear that voters putting less than 100k DOT in a vote tend to use 0x or 1x conviction the majority of the time. On the other hand, voters with 100k-1M DOT are more willing to use higher convictions, while voters with >1M DOT never vote with 0x conviction but are also cautious about using high convictions (4x-6x).

4. How is exercised voting power distributed?

We define voting power as the amount of DOT put to vote multiplied by the conviction multiplier. The total voting power exercised in a vote includes both self-voting power and any delegated voting power, cumulative over referenda voted by the same account.

We observe a sharp increase in the centralization of exercised voting power in the top 1% in October and November, regardless of an increase in participation.

This could be correlated with the fact that votes with conviction do not stack.

While there is not enough data to draw hard conclusions, it can serve as a future indicator.

We are curious to know your thoughts :star2:


Polkadot OpenGov Data Insights ยฉ 2023 by SO/DA zone is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.

8 Likes

Polkadot OpenGov top 5 voters, ordered by exercised total voting power:

  1. 16DGiP - Giotto
  2. 16Zw7d - Ivy
  3. 15qHY7 - ChaosDAO multisig
  4. 1bBrZ8 - Proxy controlling 1649c4. It also controls 2 other accounts, both of which have only participated in โ€œTobias Airdropโ€ (ref. 157) voting aye
  5. 14zPdp - New delegate who has been voting down recent content proposals

Interesting observation. Do you guys have plan to create a full report?

Not really, it is a side project that we did out of curiosity and we decided to share the findings as we found it interesting.

We do plan to update the stats at the end of the month (curious to see whatโ€™s up in November :eyes:) and weโ€™re also open to add other analysis/statistics that the community is interested to see.

Hi everyone,

Here are some updated statistics on Polkadot OpenGov.

The data now reflects activity up to block 18_606_779, i.e. 2023-12-15 08:13:06 (+UTC). Just a reminder, this data exclusively covers treasury tracks, and the last month is still open.

Overview

The cumulative count of unique addresses that have cast at least one vote has risen from 1529 to 1673, indicating a 9.4% increase over ~1 month.

Similarly, the cumulative count of unique addresses that have delegated their votes at least once has grown from 298 to 328, representing a 10% increase.

The current number of unique actively delegating addresses is 267 for treasury tracks.

Voter Engagement

Analyzing the updated monthly retention cohorts, we observe a significant increase in new voters in November, with an impressive 354 new addresses participating. This marks the second-largest cohort since the genesis cohort in June 2023 for OpenGov.

However, only 13% of these new voters have continued to participate in December thus far.

Voting Power Distribution

The concentration of exercised voting power in the top 1% has continued its dramatic rise in November, despite the overall increase in participation.

Could the concentration of voting power discourage voter engagement, as voters feel disempowered in the system? Are voters starting to experience voting fatigue due to the influx of proposals? We want to hear your thoughts!

Once again, if there are specific statistics youโ€™d like to see, please let us know.

Happy holidays! :sparkles: :snowman_with_snow: :christmas_tree:


Polkadot OpenGov Data Insights ยฉ 2023 by SO/DA zone is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.